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08/30/22 Sentiment Timing Market Updater

August 30, 2022

Markets: Is anyone surprised that interest Rates are rising? Wasn’t it obvious? And now it is a problem for Stocks? The Semiotics Rate profile has been negative all along. History shows us, after such an idiotic episode of obscene Liquidity, Rates can rise for decades. In Rome, they rose for a hundred years. Excess leads to Excess. My old friend Jerome is not to blame. Politicians are not to blame. They never knew anything and never will. They are paid to talk. Talk without Understanding. These forces are much bigger than any person. The time patterns which I study are always going to have their way. The Rate Reality is part of a larger change in Financial Culture. Stocks are also in a new secular phase. They are generically corrective. None of this is surprising. As noted, Crypto is also following this Risk Off profile. In the Interim Term, Stocks and other assets have just turned down again after bounces. The pattern, as expected, is lower into October. Any questions. Monthly Report is due on 9/6.

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