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COMMENTS ON FINANCIAL CULTURE: Recognition of the Global Liquidity error will likely take more time. Repeat: “Price profiles allow that
markets may maintain upward slumbering into May B4 deeper dives.” Yep. So, keep Zooming. Keep Hoping. Keep your shorts on but maintain your Neuroplasticity! What? Mental flexibly is the ability to maintain a subtle mind If stocks do keep going higher that does not mean you have to believe it nor to rue it. Just watch. Trumpelstiltskin is out and Inflation is in. Lets blow this Bubble up just a bit more. There is never any better Normal than Reality. Wait.
The Market Scape: Complacency never ever seems bizarre? Interest rate rises only matter when no one thinks they do? The “year of Covid,” is ending or is it? Hope springs eternal but it won’t, of course, really end up being, eternal.
Perceptions: Central Bankers understand everything and are in control. The Teleprompters are booked solid with comforting memes. Neuroplasticity wins central Bankers Backstopped any woes. While that Game has not actually Stopped, it is changing. New Uncertainties are forming. You can feel that now.
EQUITY STRATEGY: The timing pattern continues to suggest important weakness later this year: Real Rate rises confirm that the Liquidity ‘miracle’ will be revealed as an error. Profiles allowed for Spring strength B4 a Summer hit.
EQUITY TACTICS: Profiles messy but ‘looks’ like more of a break out finale.
GLOBAL EQUITIES: Congestive but with a bid. Maybe May highs coming.
FIXED INCOME: 3/20 was Ultimate “Bull Trap.” Potential June spike?
FOREX: Expected: “Dollar can go higher.” Probably developing a range.
COMMODITIES: Commodities “Feeling” the Inflation. Gold basing. Crypto still bid.
CRUDE: Toppy. Down into Mid-June.
GRAINS: Structurally bullish.
EQUITY STRATEGY: Patterns argue for an important corrective episode later this year. But not, Today. This degree of randy ebullience
has adumbrations of 8/87. Vaccines and stimulus memes are overwhelming rising rate realities. It may be a, ‘Sell in May & go Away?’
S&P Monthly: Note the rapidity of the price rise. This is looking ominous and may allow for an equal reaction down. A defined low is due
near year end. Note below, the kind of price break which might be typical. There isn’t much more monthly time for topping. It will happen
EQUITY SECTOR, QQQ: Technology had been an overt laggard. It is time for it to have some episodes of outperformance. Note: The March low was a very robust trading low. This pattern provides fuel for higher highs ahead. No timing yet for a defined top. Maybe May.
COMMODITIES, CORN: Pick any kind of stuff. It is going higher. It is the Inflation baby! I like all the grains and especially Corn. You can
eat it almost raw unlike Soy or Wheat. Anyway, the bottom is firm and it has just exploded again. Anything can happen with weather, but…bid.
EQUITY TACTICS: The DORSEY Market Sentiment is generating a series of high bullish readings once again. The low sentiment in early
March identified a robust trading low. Near term profiles are messy but have always allowed a classic May high to, “Sell and Go Away.
DAILY EQUITY PROFILE: Tactical behavior is engineering another break out. This sort price behavior generates more opinions than any
defined trading tactics. It is bid but may be messy. Obscenely blithe bidding becomes more habitual. The March low remains key support.
GLOBAL EQUITY STRATEGY: German Equities are hard charging again and continue to defy global concerns. Its the Liquidity, baby!
The Cabal of Central Bankers don’t care. They all want everything, “Higher” except, rates. Germany is headed for the highs. June
Volatility: (VIX) Profile: The VIX has continued to simmer and whimper while still respecting its’ amazingly elongated key support. It
appears that uncertainty is perpetually out of season? Buy in May?
FIXED INCOME STRATEGY: Repeat: “Rates Rising for Decades.” Obscene Liquidity has been revealed. Initial rises are due into 2024.
Central Bankers will keep playing a clueless game. I said: “They are headed to 1.5% then 3% ish.” The preferred profile is for two spikes
this year. One in next 2 months? And, one in Q4. Be wary of those.
FIXED INCOME TACTICS: Treasuries have been lower for a lot longer than bulls believed possible. There is much more to go. “The Print
High on 3/20 was Ominous.” Rising Rates finally got recognized. Bounces okay but another spike is due into June. Good Luck, Jerome.
CRUDE OIL STRATEGY: Crude has actually outperformed the underlying equities. You can see how it is now hard up against multiple
resistances. This is the natural time and price to stop the upside. There is an interim low due in June which may provide a decent mini
plunge followed by a strong resumption back up into key resistance.
Energy Equites: The tremendous recovery rally over the last year has likely achieved temporary fruition. Note that the two-legged strength
went into the overt technical ‘Gap.’ The timing profiles for both Crude Oil and generic equities are aligning for an interim low near Mid- June.
Gold Profiles: The expected “Mid-August,” High resolved into anticipated declines. Inflation arrived, Cryptos exploded but, Metals act more in misery rather than in sympathy. Gold is holding support and resolving from oversold conditions. Note too, the bullish overbalance of time. Not, the time to sell.
FOREX DIAGNOSIS: The Dollar continues to be strong as expected. The forecasted Rising Rate Reality is giving it a renewed bid. Profiles
allow for further recoveries. But resistance is looming just above here.
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